• Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

  • Nov 13 2024
  • Length: 1 hr and 37 mins
  • Podcast

Gwern Branwen - How an Anonymous Researcher Predicted AI's Trajectory

  • Summary

  • Gwern is a pseudonymous researcher and writer. He was one of the first people to see LLM scaling coming. If you've read his blog, you know he's one of the most interesting polymathic thinkers alive.

    In order to protect Gwern's anonymity, I proposed interviewing him in person, and having my friend Chris Painter voice over his words after. This amused him enough that he agreed.

    After the episode, I convinced Gwern to create a donation page where people can help sustain what he's up to. Please go here to contribute.

    Read the full transcript here.

    Sponsors:

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    Timestamps

    00:00:00 - Anonymity

    00:01:09 - Automating Steve Jobs

    00:04:38 - Isaac Newton's theory of progress

    00:06:36 - Grand theory of intelligence

    00:10:39 - Seeing scaling early

    00:21:04 - AGI Timelines

    00:22:54 - What to do in remaining 3 years until AGI

    00:26:29 - Influencing the shoggoth with writing

    00:30:50 - Human vs artificial intelligence

    00:33:52 - Rabbit holes

    00:38:48 - Hearing impairment

    00:43:00 - Wikipedia editing

    00:47:43 - Gwern.net

    00:50:20 - Counterfactual careers

    00:54:30 - Borges & literature

    01:01:32 - Gwern's intelligence and process

    01:11:03 - A day in the life of Gwern

    01:19:16 - Gwern's finances

    01:25:05 - The diversity of AI minds

    01:27:24 - GLP drugs and obesity

    01:31:08 - Drug experimentation

    01:33:40 - Parasocial relationships

    01:35:23 - Open rabbit holes



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